Iowa is a state with the Republican leading. We're looking at incumbent Chuck Grassley leading Democrat Roxanne Conlin in many of the Real Clear Politics polls. According to Rasmussen the most accurate of the national pollsters, the latest poll is:
Charles Grassley (R): 55%
Roxanne Conlin (D): 37%
Other/und: 8%
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Monday, November 01, 2010
Raese v. Manchin Polls
Republican John Raese has again taken the lead over incumbent Governor John Manchin in the Senate race to replace Robert Byrd. This came after several polls showed Manchin with a small lead (although one had him up by 10%). Raese is running a very hard campaign while Manchin's ties with Obama appear to be hurting him.
West Virginia is a heavily Democratic state but filled with conservatives-- even those registered to the Democratic Party. Manchin is very popular at home and many believe that sending him to the Senate will simply reduce the state's effectiveness and give another vote for Obama's agenda.
Manchin has now stated that he would have voted against the ObamaCare bill after repeatedly stating that he would have supported it. He is also now against the Cap and Trade bill, which would destroy W. Virginia's economy. This poll shows a shift itself [warning: PDF file].
Raese (R): 48%
Manchin (D): 46%
Other/und: 6%
Manchin appears to be on the ropes with just a week left to go. Unless Raese creates a scandal the Governor may be staying in his mansion. Raese has a history of creating jobs and wealth while W.V. voters are scared of another Democrat in Congress. Can't say I blame them.
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West Virginia is a heavily Democratic state but filled with conservatives-- even those registered to the Democratic Party. Manchin is very popular at home and many believe that sending him to the Senate will simply reduce the state's effectiveness and give another vote for Obama's agenda.
Manchin has now stated that he would have voted against the ObamaCare bill after repeatedly stating that he would have supported it. He is also now against the Cap and Trade bill, which would destroy W. Virginia's economy. This poll shows a shift itself [warning: PDF file].
Raese (R): 48%
Manchin (D): 46%
Other/und: 6%
Manchin appears to be on the ropes with just a week left to go. Unless Raese creates a scandal the Governor may be staying in his mansion. Raese has a history of creating jobs and wealth while W.V. voters are scared of another Democrat in Congress. Can't say I blame them.
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Barney Frank Polls
Sean Bielat is everything that Congressman Barney Frank isn't:
A former member of America's Armed Forces.
A small businessman who believes in Capitalism.
And a Conservative Republican with principles.
Frank (R): 48%
Bielat (D): 38%
Bielat (D): 38%
But none of that has hurt Sean Bielat. In fact, according to a recent poll that shows Frank leading by only ten points, his Conservatism might actually be helping him in liberal Massachusetts. In what can only be deemed shocking, even the NRCC has committed to helping the former United States Marine in the district that has elected and re-elected Barney Frank for three decades.
There are more than enough Bielat supporters in the blogosphere, but I would like to ask the good people of Massachusett's fourth congressional district one thing: have your lives improved with Barney Frank as your Congressman since 1981?
It's time to send Washington another independent minded Republican from the great State of Massachusetts. It's time to send Sean Bielat.
Vote Bielat!
Christine O'Donnell Polls v. Chris Coons Polls
The most touted poll before the Delaware primary was out of Rasmussen Reports, a right-leaning firm that is well respected for the accuracy of their polling data, and it showed Ms.O'Donnell 11 points behind Chris Coons in the general election. But 17% of voters were still undecided, and could go one way or another.
September 2, 2010 Rasmussen Reports poll:
Christopher Coons (D) - 47%.
Christine O'Donnell (R) - 36%.
Some Other Candidate - 8%.
Not sure/Undecided - 9%.
Perhaps those who disregarded the aforementioned polling data should have read between the lines. As a new poll out of Rasmussen still has Ms.O'Donnell trailing by 11%, but this time the voters have made up their mind. Please note the percentage of voters who are no longer undecided.
September 15, 2010 Rasmussen Reports poll:
Christopher Coons (D) - 53%.
Christine O'Donnell (R) - 42%.
Some Other Candidate - 1%.
Not sure/Undecided - 4%.
Unless a major Chris Coons scandal erupts in the coming weeks, I don't see a path for a Christine O'Donnell victory in Delaware. And I say that with regret.
September 2, 2010 Rasmussen Reports poll:
Christopher Coons (D) - 47%.
Christine O'Donnell (R) - 36%.
Some Other Candidate - 8%.
Not sure/Undecided - 9%.
Perhaps those who disregarded the aforementioned polling data should have read between the lines. As a new poll out of Rasmussen still has Ms.O'Donnell trailing by 11%, but this time the voters have made up their mind. Please note the percentage of voters who are no longer undecided.
September 15, 2010 Rasmussen Reports poll:
Christopher Coons (D) - 53%.
Christine O'Donnell (R) - 42%.
Some Other Candidate - 1%.
Not sure/Undecided - 4%.
Unless a major Chris Coons scandal erupts in the coming weeks, I don't see a path for a Christine O'Donnell victory in Delaware. And I say that with regret.
Strickland v. Kasich Polls
The race for the Governor of Ohio remains tight with incumbent Ted Strickland still trailing Republican John Kasich. Strickland is largely blamed for the loss of thousands of jobs during the economic downturn while Kasich is well-regarded as a former Congressman. This is one of the hardest-fought races in the country right now, with Strickland intentionally tacking to the left in hopes of rallying the working class.
Kasich has run a very effective campaign, both building up his record but holding Strickland responsible for his role during the Great Recession. So far this strategy appears to be working. This most recent poll comes from the University of Cincinnati and is less reliable than major pollsters like Rasmussen, but appears to be on the mark here.
Kasich (R): 49%
Strickland * (D): 47%
Other/und: 4%
* Denotes incumbent
The low number of undecideds are hurting Strickland, as he will essentially need all to win the race. Furthermore, this late in the race undecideds tend to break away from the incumbent, further helping Kasich.
The White House has poured a lot of resources into this race, with the President personally campaigning for Strickland. A GOP win may be just what is needed to put this state red again.
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Hawaii Governor Polls
With Governor Linda Lingle (R) term-limited, and Congressman Neil Abercrombie as the Democratic nominee, most anticipated the Hawaii Governor's mansion to flip back into Democratic control. Even though, Republican Charles Djou won a spectacular special election back in May.
However, according to a just released Rasmussen Reports survey, the current Lt. Governor and Republican Nominee for Governor, Duke Aiona has closed the gap with Abercrombie, moving the hotly contested Gubernatorial election into the "toss-up" category.
Rasmussen Reports survey of 500 likely voters:
Rep. Neil Abercrombie (D) - 49%.
Lt. Governor Duke Aiona (R) - 47%.
Some other candidate - 1%.
Undecided/Uncommitted - 4%.
The Aloha State might have supported Barack Obama with 70% of their vote in 2008, but that appears to have been a one-time electoral result, because Charles Djou is likely to be reelected to Congress, while Duke Aiona's chances of being only the second Republican Governor to be elected since the 1960's are relatively high.
Brady v. Quinn Polls
Illinois is a relatively blue state and overwhelmingly backed Barack Obama in 2008. It appears unlikely that the GOP could take it in the 2012 Presidential stakes, but this is a positive move. Furthermore, the GOP is looking for gains in Congress and to take the open Senate seat this year.
This poll comes from the St. Louis times working with Mason-Dixon. While not as accurate as firms like Rasmussen it appears that the results here may be fairly reliable. And the news is not good for Quinn, who is already struggling.
Brady (R): 44%
Quinn * (D): 40%
Other/und: 16%
* Denotes incumbent
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Sunday, October 31, 2010
Boozman v. Lincoln Polls
Arkansas is a state with the Republican leading. We're looking at incumbent Blanche Lincoln trailing Republican John Boozman in many of the Real Clear Politics polls. According to Rasmussen the most accurate of the national pollsters, the latest poll is:
John Boozman (R): 55%
Blanche Lincoln (D): 36%
Other/und: 9%
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Arkansas Senate Polls
Arkansas is a state with the Republican leading. We're looking at incumbent Blanche Lincoln trailing Republican John Boozman in many of the Real Clear Politics polls. According to Rasmussen the most accurate of the national pollsters, the latest poll is:
John Boozman (R): 55%
Blanche Lincoln (D): 36%
Other/und: 9%
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John Boozman (R): 55%
Blanche Lincoln (D): 36%
Other/und: 9%
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New York Senate Polls
New York is a state with the Republican trailing. We're looking at incumbent Kirsten Gillibrand leading Republican Joe DioGuardi in many of the Real Clear Politics polls. According to Rasmussen the most accurate of the national pollsters, the latest poll is:
Kirsten Gillibrand (D): 54%
Joe DioGuardi (R): 33%
Other/und: 13%
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Kirsten Gillibrand (D): 54%
Joe DioGuardi (R): 33%
Other/und: 13%
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