Republican John Raese has again taken the lead over incumbent Governor John Manchin in the Senate race to replace Robert Byrd. This came after several polls showed Manchin with a small lead (although one had him up by 10%). Raese is running a very hard campaign while Manchin's ties with Obama appear to be hurting him.
West Virginia is a heavily Democratic state but filled with conservatives-- even those registered to the Democratic Party. Manchin is very popular at home and many believe that sending him to the Senate will simply reduce the state's effectiveness and give another vote for Obama's agenda.
Manchin has now stated that he would have voted against the ObamaCare bill after repeatedly stating that he would have supported it. He is also now against the Cap and Trade bill, which would destroy W. Virginia's economy. This poll shows a shift itself [warning: PDF file].
Raese (R): 48%
Manchin (D): 46%
Other/und: 6%
Manchin appears to be on the ropes with just a week left to go. Unless Raese creates a scandal the Governor may be staying in his mansion. Raese has a history of creating jobs and wealth while W.V. voters are scared of another Democrat in Congress. Can't say I blame them.
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The polls showing Manchin with a lead come AFTER the poll you cite here. And even if that were not so, claiming a 2-point lead (and therefore statistically insignificant) means Manchin is "on the ropes" isn't all that accurate.
ReplyDeleteI realize you are trying to spin the data but this is pretty far-fetched.