Wednesday, November 30, 2011

Romney's Tough Spot

The 2012 race seemed nearly wrapped up three weeks ago: Cain was declining, Romney was near or at top in most primary polls and Gingrich wasn't ascending. Well, that has all changed - Gingrich is rising quicker than any not-Romney contender before and the former Massachusetts Governor is only leading in New Hampshire.

And that might be in danger too.

According to a new Rasmussen survey of likely New Hampshire primary voters - Romney is hanging on with 34% of the vote, followed by Gingrich at 24%, Paul at 14% and Huntsman rounding out the double digit contenders at 11%. Not good news for the Romney camp when your biggest opponent is in striking distance in your most important state.

These next six weeks will be Romney's tough spot - will he be able to convince Republican voters he is the best qualified to not only defeat Obama, but to replace him at the same time, or will he fall flat, and ultimately the perfectly timed rise of Newt will sweep him into the nomination circle, and end all Romney presidential aspirations.

I'm thinking the race will last for months between Romney and Gingrich, rivaling the epic Clinton vs. Obama delegate battle in 2008, but in order for that to happen voters have to start moving towards my guy, which hasn't happened up to this point and I'm worried it never will.

What say you?

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