"Today, I want to speak to you about this deal, and the most consequential foreign policy debate that our country has had since the invasion of Iraq, as Congress decides whether to support this historic diplomatic breakthrough, or instead blocks it over the objection of the vast majority of the world.
"Between now and the congressional vote in September, you’re going to hear a lot of arguments against this deal, backed by tens of millions of dollars in advertising. And if the rhetoric in these ads, and the accompanying commentary, sounds familiar, it should -- for many of the same people who argued for the war in Iraq are now making the case against the Iran nuclear deal.
"If Congress kills this deal, we will lose more than just constraints on Iran’s nuclear program, or the sanctions we have painstakingly built. We will have lost something more precious: America’s credibility as a leader of diplomacy; America’s credibility as the anchor of the international system," President Obama said.
Chalk up another divisive and denigrating tactic against America for the Community Organizer 'n Chief. Pathetic that someone who was so revered with the promise to be a cohesive force for unity instead shows his true colors as a leftist political ideologue incapable of pursing the greater good for America. What an absolute embarrassment for leadership he is for many, many Americans.
An "effective" leader is able to marshal disparate forces to an acceptable perspective and strategy. Obama, with his community organizer roots, is divisive and lacks the personality to work with others.
Moreover, Obama seems incapable of realizing that not everything can be made to fit his ideological perspective. He lacks essential flexibility to deal with problems, listen sincerely to the advice of others (not sycophants like Rice and Jarrett) and the constant morphing and unintended consequences that arise in applying ideologically-based solutions.
In short, Obama is a community organizer who was elevated to POTUS but never was able to transform himself to handle the job with all of its disparate parts. Cohesion is certainly not one of his characteristics.
So much for Obama's "this agreement guarantees that they will never get a bomb."
Thanks to Obama the UN already removed most sanctions. If the agreement is not ratified by Congress and the remaining sanctions are not lifted, does anyone really believe that Iran would continue to build costly nuclear weapons just to spite us? Get real, Iran is going to do what Iran is going to do because they believe it is in their national interest regardless of us. Obama hasn't done anything to change that equation. All Obama did is make it easier for them. Congress should not make it even easier by agreeing to remove whatever sanctions remain.
It is laughable to believe that Iran would dismantle a program for which they've built so many large facilities just for a few billion dollars. I suspect that all they are doing is streamlining their program and getting rid of stuff they no longer need. I further suspect that at this point they already have the bomb (if Pakistan and North Korea have it please don't tell me the much richer Iran doesn't) but have not tested it because a large clunky devise is not much of a weapon. They are miniaturizing it to put on the tip of missiles and for that a super sophisticated detonator is required, just what their Parchin facility, the one not even the UN will be able to inspect, is known to be working on.
There is a crucial assumption being made with respect to the agreement with Iran that I believe is false. It is that Iran without the agreement would want to “make” the bomb, and let’s explore “make.”I believe Iran already has the bomb—if Pakistan and North Korea have it, it defies common sense that the much richer Iran doesn’t—only it has not tested it.
Moreover, without a usable bomb, testing would be a useless exercise that would only incur the wrath of the world community. So why do it if they are not in a position to use it. It would be an exercise in futility. So to me “making” the bomb means also being able to use it by putting it on the tip of a missile.
That’s the key and what I believe is happening is that Iran is willing to agree not to “complete” the whole process until they are able to miniaturize the bomb enough to put on the tip of a missile. That requires a super sophisticated detonation mechanism—a spherically shaped inward directed explosion of immense power to bring the mass of nuclear material to its critical mass—and guess what, that is precisely the work being done at the super-secret Parchin military facility that even the IAEA won’t be allowed to inspect, at least not without a more than three week notice that can be appealed and stretched out.
As if that wasn’t enough, work on a detonator does not require that any kind of nuclear material be used, so there would not be any telltale radiation signs after a cleanup of three weeks. Secretary of Energy and former MIT nuclear science professor Moniz has confirmed that. In fact, he went as far as to say that to catch the Iranians working on a detonator would have to be done through the traditional “sleuthing,” his word. So we don’t have the tight inspections Obama has spoken about so much, and Iran is not really in any hurry to develop the bomb itself, at least not until they have a detonator for a miniaturized bomb.
The bottom line is that the only one that gains anything from the deal is Iran by having the sanctions lifted and tens of billions of dollars released. A mighty handsome deal for Iran, and typical of what a Westerner gets when he dares haggle in a Middle Eastern bazaar.
By the way, in the first set of Congressional hearings I watched, a very interesting exchange took place with Secretary Moniz that I think most people didn’t catch, or had the wrong framework with which to interpret. At one point a Senator said something that put in question the integrity of Moniz. Now, as a nuclear science MIT professor, Moniz is no dummy and is not going to have his integrity questioned.
Moniz was quick to clarify that the structure under which he had participated and contributed to the negotiations was strictly to keep the Iranians from having a better than “one year breakout time.” Of course once they have a detonator the Iranians will probably go ahead with a bomb as soon as they believe they want to use it, but in the meantime , and as outlined above, a one year breakout period is fine with them.
I further suspect that at this point they already have the bomb (if Pakistan and North Korea have it please don't tell me the much richer Iran doesn't) but have not tested it because a large clunky devise is not much of a weapon. They are miniaturizing it to put on the tip of missiles and for that a super sophisticated detonator is required, just what their Parchin facility, the one not even the UN will be able to inspect, is known to be working on.
So I would not bother ratifying the agreement. Both Iran and Obama are going to do what they are going to do with or without Congress. I don't even want to hear Obama speak because all he does is lie, or else he is really dumb.
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