Friday, July 17, 2015

President Obama meets with Saudi foreign minister Adel al-Jubeir

On Friday, President Obama met with Saudi foreign minister Adel al-Jubeir at the White House.

The foreign minister of Saudi Arabia welcomed a nuclear accord with Iran during a meeting with Barack Obama on Friday, according to the White House.

“The President did sit down and have a discussion with the Saudi foreign minister Adel al-Jubeir to discuss a range of regional and bilateral issues, including the recent historic agreement that was announced this week.

“The foreign minister and the President also talked about the important bilateral relationship that exists between the United States and Saudi Arabia, and there was a discussion about how to further enhance that close and longstanding partnership," White House press secretary Josh Earnest said.

I would have loved to be a fly in the oval office when Obama met with the Saudi foreign minister. With his Iran deal Obama allowed a change in the dynamic and balance of forces that had existed in the Middle East and that had helped maintain the larger peace since the breakup of the Ottoman Empire after the First World War.

Let's remember that there have been very serious divisions between the Persians and the Arabs for thousands of years, and that these are now very much aggravated by a deep religious divide between Sunnis and Shias.

Worse, with the lifting of the conventional arms embargo Obama is allowing the ongoing wars to escalate --anyone that doesn't see that Iran and the Arabs are already at war kid themselves-- and he is further allowing that escalation to culminate with nuclear weapons, if not now then in a few short years.

It turns out that the anytime, anywhere inspections can be objected to by Iran even after the 24 day procedure and if that happens it has to be elevated to the UN Security Council. Good luck if Iran doesn't want us to see something; the fact is we won't.

But that's not all. It also turns out that there can't be any American inspectors, nor apparently European. Only IAEA inspectors excluding those nationalities can go in.

Then as if to add insult to injury, it is a pipe dream to believe that if something goes wrong we can actually "snap back" sanctions. It took years to put them in place and I bet the Chinese and Russia will not acquiesce to put them back overnight just because the U.S. says.
So we've all been had and I am sure the Saudis are as aware, if not more, of these realities.

the real danger is a continuation of the millennia old conflict between Persians and Arabs, a conflict that has now been turbocharged by the Shia-Sunni religious divide.

Already the Sunnis are at war with Shias to the North of Arabia in Lebanon, Syria and Iraq, and to the South of Arabia in Yemen. And all of those wars are heating up, not slowing down, and the deal with Iran will now pour more money and conventional weapons into those conflicts in the short term, and then nuclear weapons in the not too distant future.

In late 2013 Iran was in trouble due to a strengthening internal democratic movement, serious climatic catastrophes they didn't have the resources to address effectively, and, externally, ISIS was beginning to present a Sunni existential threat to their existence. And the sanctions were strangling them economically.

"Supreme Leader" Ayatollah Khamenei gave the nod to throw a Hail Mary pass to Mr. Obama, probably figuring it would never be caught, but you never know -- Obama had caved on Syria, and he might be willing to cave further. He caught the Hail Mary and, like Syria, began giving away the store.

Obama claims that we can't do all things at once with Iran, so we must do one thing at a time, separating nuclear aspirations from their nature as a regional and religious hegemonist and a terrorist nation. BIG mistake.

We will have a nuclearized Iran soon, as well as a nuclearized Egypt and Saudi Arabia. Where this all leads will likely be mushroom clouds in the desert. Some "legacy".

No comments:

Post a Comment