Wednesday, August 19, 2015
Iran will be allowed to inspect itself under nuclear agreement
On Wednesday, the Associated Press reported that under the provisions of the nuclear deal, the Iranian government will be allowed to use its own "experts" to inspect sites that Iran may be using to develop nuclear weapons.
More from the AP:
"Iran, in an unusual arrangement, will be allowed to use its own experts to inspect a site it allegedly used to develop nuclear arms under a secret agreement with the U.N. agency that normally carries out such work, according to a document seen by The Associated Press.
"The revelation is sure to roil American and Israeli critics of the main Iran deal signed by the U.S., Iran and five world powers in July. Those critics have complained that the deal is built on trust of the Iranians, a claim the U.S. has denied.
"The investigation of the Parchin nuclear site by the International Atomic Energy Agency is linked to a broader probe of allegations that Iran has worked on atomic weapons. That investigation is part of the overarching nuclear deal.
"The Parchin deal is a separate, side agreement worked out between the IAEA and Iran. The United States and the five other world powers that signed the Iran nuclear deal were not party to this agreement but were briefed on it by the IAEA and endorsed it as part of the larger package."
So much for Obama's "this agreement guarantees that they will never get a bomb."
Thanks to Obama the UN already removed most sanctions. If the agreement is not ratified by Congress and the remaining sanctions are not lifted, does anyone really believe that Iran would continue to build costly nuclear weapons just to spite us? Get real, Iran is going to do what Iran is going to do because they believe it is in their national interest regardless of us. Obama hasn't done anything to change that equation. All Obama did is make it easier for them. Congress should not make it even easier by agreeing to remove whatever sanctions remain.
It is laughable to believe that Iran would dismantle a program for which they've built so many large facilities just for a few billion dollars. I suspect that all they are doing is streamlining their program and getting rid of stuff they no longer need. I further suspect that at this point they already have the bomb (if Pakistan and North Korea have it please don't tell me the much richer Iran doesn't) but have not tested it because a large clunky devise is not much of a weapon. They are miniaturizing it to put on the tip of missiles and for that a super sophisticated detonator is required, just what their Parchin facility, the one not even the UN will be able to inspect, is known to be working on.
Remember "inspections anytime, anywhere"? Well, we don't even have access to Iran's military facilities, the most important which appears to be Parchin, where they are said to be developing nuclear bomb detonators. Only the UN might, I underline might because an agreement for the UN to inspect facilities like Parchin is still being negotiated.
But even if an agreement is finally reached two things are already known to be certain: 1) our government won't be able to read the agreement, and 2) Americans will not be included in the inspection teams.
To say that John Kerry and President Obama were fleeced is not an overstatement.
Why is inspection of the Parchin facility which only the IAEA may have access to, that agreement is still not a done deal, so crucial?
When you piece together all of the parts that have come out it looks awfully like Iran is not working on a nuclear bomb per se—they may already have it—because what is important to them today is learning how to detonate a miniaturized version to put on the tip of a missile. The trick to detonating a miniaturized version of a bomb is a sufficiently sophisticated shaped detonator, in the case of the bomb a spherically shaped inward directed detonation.
That is a really tough proposition, and that’s what the Parchin facility has been known to be doing. And Energy Secretary Moniz admits that to do research on that kind of explosive doesn’t require nuclear material, so there would be no telltale radiation with which to determine that they were violating the agreement.
So it is very likely that we will never know about the most important part of the Iranian research and development of a nuclear bomb. It is not part of the agreement that Kerry negotiated.
It is entirely possible, perhaps even probable, that the Iranians already have the capability of making a nuclear device, and are negotiating entirely to achieve an end to sanctions.
Assuming that this is probable, ending sanctions and permitting access to the frozen $150 billion which they are to receive would not only provide additional money for support of terrorism, it would accelerate the weaponization of devices capable of being carried on strategic missile systems, to be acquired in only a few years
The more that emerges from this "agreement" the more ridiculous it sounds. This entire exercise is a joke and its obvious what Obama and Kerry have been spending their time and energy on, i.e., trying to figure out how to sell this load of crap to the American public by their now trademark lies, deception, deflection, and resignation.
They proudly proclaim this "deal" as the best they could do when in fact they have really accomplished none of the goals they themselves set when this process started. Obama and Kerry are truly imbecilic and now expect everyone else to be as imbecilic as they are. Both of these people have proven they couldn't negotiate their way out of an open elevator door!
Winston Churchill once said something to the effect that history does not repeat itself, but it rhymes.
This Iran fiasco is so reminiscent of how the western world averted its eyes in the 1930s while Hitler rearmed Germany in violation of the Versailles Treaty, occupied militarily critical areas of Germany in which the German military was not allowed per the Versailles Treaty, "annexed" Austria (annexed meaning conquered without firing a shot) and, in effect, conquered parts of Czechoslovakia, amongst other things. The west also averted its eyes to what was taking place with the German Jewish population (and eventually that of other countries occupied by the Nazis). International inspectors visited Germany and saw only what the Germans allowed them to see and returned to the west to assure the world that all was well in Germany. The western world chose to see nothing, hear nothing and say nothing. The ultimate price was 60 million lives.
Sound familiar at all to you appeasers out there?
Obama apologists claim that the deal between Iran and the P5+1 says Iran will comply with the NPT and submit to IAEA inspection, which are subject to their agreements.
In the next breath, the same apologists say that those "confidential" IAEA agreements weren't negotiated by the P5+1 or the U.S., and that every country that has signed the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty has a confidential agreement with the IAEA.
First, Iran is not every country. Second, if it is the P5+1 agreement that mandates Iran's compliance with the IAEA side deals, then those side deals are necessarily part of the P5+1 agreement by way of incorporation.
Since we are talking about Iran, and not Never Never Land, all agreements and deals must be made public.
Or no deal.
It’s interesting that Rep. Pompeo and Sen. Cotton got wind of the side agreements and the huge hole in the agreement purely by accident while meeting with the Deputy Director of the IAEA in Vienna. I say this because earlier this week when Kerry and company, including General Dempsey testified before the Senate Armed Services Committee, to make the point made in this article, Senator Cotton showed two charts of how IEDs work, with emphasis on the directed explosive charge that allows penetrating a Humvee.
I bet any money that those directed explosive charges used in IEDs were developed at the Parchin facility that not even the IAEA has gotten an agreement to inspect, at least not yet.
When you piece all of the parts together it looks awfully obvious, at least to me, that right now Iran is not working on a nuclear bomb per se, and they may already have it, because what is important to them today is learning how to detonate a miniaturized version on the tip of a missile.
That is a really tough proposition and everything they were all saying tells me that the Iranians managed to protect their continued work on such a detonator, and keep us from learning about it. That’s what the Parchin facility that not even the IAEA will be able to inspect, has been known to be doing. And Energy Secretary Moniz did admit that to do research on that kind of explosive they don’t require nuclear material, so there would be no telltale radiation with which to determine that they were violating the agreement.
Now, the trick to detonating a miniaturized version of a bomb is a sufficiently sophisticated shaped detonator, in the case of the bomb a spherically shaped inward directed detonation. With this in mind it was interesting to watch Senator Tom Cotton ask questions of General Dempsey about the IEDs that Iran provided our enemies in Iraq to kill Americans very effectively. The charts presented by Senator Cotton showed the incredible effectiveness of Iranian designed and manufactured shaped explosives.
As the saying goes, all paths lead to Rome.
Posted by Dan Butcher