U.S. Senator Tom Cotton: "I'd like to stick with you, Secretary Kerry.
"Why can't we confirm or deny the content of these agreements in public? Why is this classified? It's not a sensitive U.S. government document."
Kerry: "Because we respect the process of the IAEA and we don't have their authorization to reveal what is a confidential agreement between them and another country,"
Cotton: "So the Ayatollahs will know what they agreed to but not the American people?"
I was just watching Kerry and company, including General Dempsey testify before the Armed Services Committee of the Senate, and when you piece all of the parts together it looks awfully obvious that right now Iran is not working on a nuclear bomb per se, and they may already have it.
What is important to Iran today is learning how to detonate a miniaturized version on the tip of a missile.
That is a really tough proposition and everything they were all saying tells me that the Iranians managed to protect their continued work on such a detonator, and keep us from learning about it. That’s what the Parchin facility that not even the IAEA will be able to inspect has been known to be doing. And Energy Secretary Moniz did admit that to do research on that kind of explosive they don’t require nuclear material, so there would be no telltale radiation with which to determine that they were violating the agreement.
Now, the trick to detonating a miniaturized version of a bomb is a sufficiently sophisticated shaped detonator, in the case of the bomb a spherically shaped inward directed detonation. With this in mind it was interesting to watch Senator Tom Cotton ask questions of General Dempsey about the IEDs that Iran provided our enemies in Iraq to kill Americans very effectively. The charts presented by Senator Cotton showed the incredible effectiveness of Iranian designed and manufactured shaped explosives.
As the saying goes, all paths lead to Rome.
A few years ago Bernard Lewis said in an interview that the mullahs in Iran couldn't be deterred. He said that "the mullahs 'are religious fanatics with an apocalyptic mindset. In Islam, as in Christianity and Judaism, there is an end-of-times scenario—and they think it's beginning or has already begun.' So 'mutually assured destruction is not a deterrent—it's an inducement'."
If Lewis is right, and having dedicated his life to studying it he knows more about that region than anyone else, then there is a high probability that once the mullahs get the bomb, as a final offering to Allah they will use it to do away with the Jewish non believers.
It is not rocket science for Israel then to conclude that it is them or us, and that the best time is now before Iran gets nuclear weapons--actually I believe they already have them but are still working on miniaturizing them enough to put on rockets at the Parchin facility that even the IAEA only has limited access to, and that under a separate secret agreement still being negotiated that even the U.S. can't see.
Regarding cheating, it shouldn't be that difficult. Tuesday I watched the testimony of Kerry, Moniz and Lew to the House Foreign Relations Committee. One thing that struck me of John Kerry's testimony was the use of the same complex formulation every time the issue of inspections and the consequences of cheating came up.
Kerry kept saying that we would act "If they are in material breach in a way that is threatening."