Wednesday, February 22, 2012

NBC/Marist: Romney Leads in Arizona and Michigan

With potentially the final Republican Presidential debate just hours away, an NBC/Marist survey of Republican voters in both Arizona and Michigan show Mitt Romney back in the lead in both states, although the results in Michigan are anything from written in stone.

Arizona GOP Primary (29 delegates):

Romney - 43%
Santorum - 27%
Gingrich - 16%
Ron Paul - 11%

Michigan GOP Primary (30 delegates):

Romney - 37%
Santorum - 35%
Ron Paul - 13%
Gingrich - 8%

With Arizona awarding all their delegates to the victor, Michigan is absolutely vital for Santorum to prevent Romney from winning over 75% of Tuesday's delegates, which would be a small step in the right direction for the former Massachusetts governor who is calculating his road to 1,144 delegates.

Tonight's CNN debate in Mesa, Arizona, will be crucial in determining who Michigan's delegates eventually go to next Tuesday and by how much. I wouldn't be surprised if CNN moderator John King forgets he is in Arizona and focuses completely on the Rust Belt primary everyone is watching with angst.

What say you?

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