Wednesday, February 29, 2012

Santorum's Organization Problems

With attention shifting to Super Tuesday after Mitt Romney's two big victories last night, the often troubling issue of Rick Santorum's organizational issues are creeping once again into the limelight.

We begin with Virginia, where as everyone knows only Romney and Paul were capable enough to qualify for the ballot, while Perry infamously filed suit because he could not get 10,000 signatures because they changed the rules, or something like that. Santorum didn't come close to the required number, and now 49 delegates are heading to Romney.

Then we head off to Tennessee, where Santorum's campaign managed to find absolutely no-one to become an official delegate in the primary's interesting way of awarding delegates. In Tennessee - delegates aren't awarded by who wins the state or congressional districts, but by which 41 personal delegates are elected to go to the state convention (14 at-large, 27 congressional).

And now Ohio, where the Santorum and Romney campaigns will spend most of the next week for, however, due to Santorum's campaign once again failing to run cohesively, they failed to field nine delegates in three districts, meaning he will gain nothing, even if the voters back him in those three districts.

With almost 500 delegates up for grabs on Super Tuesday, Santorum's campaign will be unable to compete for almost 20% of them off the bat, because of his campaign's disorganization, and down right amatuerish ground work. Not a confidence builder when our opponent in November has last time's organization, and around one billion dollars to play around with this time.

What say you?

P.S. - Santorum could still technically win delegates in Tennessee, but his voters will have to vote uncommitted delegates, who can go to anyone they bother, or delegates of another candidate in.... neither of which guarantee he receives one elected delegate from Super Tuesday.


  1. Virginia is proportional this year. Paul will take a chunk of those delegates. Couldn't wager a guess of how many, but I venture to say at least 35%. I will be voting Paul to ensure that Romney doesn't get them.

    Campaign for Liberty is very well organized in VA. I don't think Paul will win the state outright, but he will win some districts. Mine more than likely being one of them. His rally last night drew quite the crowd.

  2. Not actually true. VA is hybrid.
    There are 49 delegates total (3 per district for 11 districts). Each district is winner take all. There are 3 unpledged and 3 party selected delegates. The remaining 10 are proportional only if no one gets above 50% of the vote. Since there are only 2 candidates, it would be proportional ONLY if there was a tie, which is unlikely.

    Paul would need to win districts to gain any delegates...otherwise it will be 49 to Romney.