Sunday, December 04, 2011

My BCS Bowl Projections

With the conference championships done with, the regular season is now over. I will now try to project the 5 BCS bowl matchups.
BCS Championship Game: LSU vs Alabama
Comment: Oklahoma State will be close to Alabama in the BCS standings, but enough voters will discount Oklahoma State's loss to Iowa State, and that will put Alabama #2 ahead of OSU.
Rose Bowl: Oregon vs. Wisconsin
Comment: Pac 12 Champ vs. Big Ten Champ. Your lock pick of the 5 games.
Sugar Bowl: Michigan vs. Kansas State
Comment: With no SEC teams left for the Sugar Bowl (there can only be two teams per conference in BCS bowls), the Sugar Bowl will happily pick Michigan. In addition, with Stanford taken, the other team picked will be Kansas State. If TCU finishes in the top 16 of the BCS standings, I expect West Virginia to be picked in this spot as the Big East Champion.
Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma State vs Stanford.
Comment: As the Big 12 Champion, Oklahoma State automatically goes into this game. The Fiesta Bowl will likely pick Stanford with Andrew Luck as its opponent.
Orange Bowl: Clemson vs. West Virginia
CommentThe ACC Champion vs. Big East champion. If TCU makes the top 16, I expect them to be picked here.
Those are my picks for all 5 BCS games. The two big unknowns at this point is whether if TCU will be picked in the top 16 in the BCS standings as the highest ranked champion of an non automatic qualifying conference (I expect Michigan, Stanford, and Alabama to be picked into the 5 bowl games, along with the 6 champions of the BCS conferences) and whether Oklahoma State will rise enough to overtake Alabama
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