With the news that Representative Anthony Weiner will resign from office and that New York's 9th district will hold a special election to replace him, I believe now is the time to examine Republican hopes of flipping the Queens centered district.
When most of New York was going strongly for Barack Obama in November 2008, the 9th district actually gave Obama fewer votes than Senator Kerry received in 2004, while the Republican line received 44% in both elections. However, this did not impact Weiner because no Republican challenged him and most voters still liked him personally.
And that was still true in last November's 9th district election: Weiner won with a record low 60.8% of the vote, but his margin of victory was still 24,000. Not that bad by most estimates, but his personal likability was on the decline.
But what about now?
The 9th district's only Representative this century has been forced to resign because of immorality, while the voters have been moving away from the Democrat Party and this will likely be the last election under 2002-2012 lines.
Currents seem to be favorable for Republicans....
I'm not saying it's likely, but the Republican Party could win the upcoming 9th district special election if they nominate the perfect candidate to relate to the Queens and Brooklyn centered neighborhoods they hope to represent.
What say you?