Thursday, May 05, 2011

Poll Shows Palin Surge in GOP Primaries

 In the last several months there has not been a solid frontrunner in Republican polls for the 2012 nomination. While Mike Huckabee and Mitt Romney have been near the top, neither has been dominant.

Donald Trump was able to surge last month, although where his polls go now is unclear. With much of the attention reverting away from him, he may see a dip in his vote share.

And it appears that may have already happened-- and Sarah Palin has picked up the slack. Palin has reduced her profile over the last several months, cutting back on public speaking events. Many supporters appeared to move towards Minnesota Congresswoman Michelle Bachmann.

Now, in the newest Quinnipiac poll, it appears that the former Alaska Governor has received a new boost in support.

National Republicans:

Romney: 18%
Palin: 15%
Huckabee: 15%
Trump: 12%

The list continues from there, but it shows a fairly significant bump in support for the former VP candidate. In a Rasmussen poll taken late last month, Palin received only 9% support:

Trump: 19%
Romney: 17%
Huckabee: 15%
Palin: 9%

Part of Palin's surge may be attributed to voters leaving Trump's campaign. Is there another factor involved?

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  1. She is still in the basement with Newt according to the latest Rasmussen poll:

    (Trump) garnered 19 percent of the vote, just ahead of Mitt Romney with 17 percent. Mike Huckabee collected 15 percent, and Sarah Palin and Newt Gingrich were tied with 9 percent.

  2. Springfield ReformerMay 5, 2011 at 11:50 AM

    @Anonymous, that's the point. You're apparently quoting the old data. It's the newer data that's showing a surge for Palin. Besides, there are other measures of potential voter interest than vastly premature polling data. Name me another GOP candidates whose Facebook page is growing at a rate of over 200 new likes per hour. Tough question, isn’t it. And Palin support would be even stronger but for the anti-Palin rumor mill that is trying to suggest she will not run. Naturally, why support a candidate, even if you like them, if you think they aren't running. But it is now well established that she is giving plenty of signals that she is gearing up to run, not the least of which was her recent decision to bring in a blue ribbon Reaganite foreign policy consultant. Not the move of someone getting ready for a life of private ease. You can take it to the bank. She is running, and when she declares, the polling data will begin to shift dramatically in her favor. What about the high negatives? Primarily the fabrication of a hostile media. Her faux negatives will fall away like an empty chrysalis as she emerges with a full-winged campaign that will see her winning in 2012. Mark my words: You ain’t seen nothing yet.

  3. I'm not sure if the latest poll comes prior to her most recent foreign policy speeches but she is definitely stepped it up a notch. Look for her to be tied among the top 2 or 3 again soon.

  4. Springfield Reformer has hit the nail on the head, except that, when she announces, her numbers won't start edging up... they will explode upward like a Titan 12 missile. She actually confirms that she is running every time she says that "It's too early to announce my decision." It is NEVER too early to say "I'm not going to run." It can only be "too early" if she IS running. She will outsmart the Mainstream Misleadia, and the partisan punditry from both sides of the aisle, and run a campaign unlike any we've ever seen, and what a delightful breath of fresh air she will be! Run, Sarah, RUN!!!

  5. Sarah Palin from Alaska!

    She is the runningest running runner of all running history.

    And when she runs, she wins ;-)

  6. She is NOT running...she knows she cannot win. The reason it's "too early" to admit that is that she needs to keep fleecing money from guys like "teledude" and his C4P cohorts.

    I just hope they are not sending her their welfare checks 'cuz I do NOT want to support her lifestyle or her daughter's plastic surgery.

  7. A boost? That poll says 58% "would never" vote for her. 58%! how is that a boost?

  8. How is it a boost? Gallup had her at 65% would never ever vote for her. Seems 7% of those never ever types changed their minds. so much for never evers.

    Most polls are showing Palin with about a 7pts boost. I would imagine it was do to her Madison WI speech, her website launch and her recent fox interviews.

    I would also imagine her recent foreign policy speech will give her another boost of 1 or 2%.

    Palin haters hardest hit.

  9. 1 0r 2%. Yeah that oughta do it. De-Lusional.