In the recent polling besides this one, Fiorina appears to be gaining strength and Boxer losing it. According to the newest Rasmussen poll from several days ago, Boxer leads by three but is unable to achieve the vaunted 50% mark-- which would be crucial for the incumbent.
This polling appears to show [warning, PDF] that Boxer's gain that seemed to go along with fellow Democrat Jerry Brown's appears to be fading. Brown has taken a modest lead over Republican Meg Whitman after issues surrounding domestic help came up in the campaign. Boxer may have been banking on this support, but it appears that this slight bump is dissipating.
Boxer * (D): 46%
Fiorina (R): 45%
* Denotes incumbent.
Fiorina may do well among the significant amount of undecided voters. If she pulls in about 2/3 of these, which tend to break away from the incumbent in the last few weeks of a race, she will have pulled out a thin 51-49% victory over the Senator. That would make for an incredibly interesting and nervous election night.
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