Saturday, October 23, 2010

Tancredo Within 1 in Colorado

Former Congressman Tom Tancredo has made a race in Colorado. His immigration policies appear to be winning over Republicans and independents in the Rocky Mountain state and he's still gaining. The registered Republican is running as an independent in the three-way race for Governor of that state. Despite the fact that Tancredo started around 10% in the polls, a weak Republican candidate has allowed him to surge into a solid second place.

The race appears to be volatile, which may help Tancredo win over independent and disaffected voters. In this Republican wave year, he may be able to win over those who like his critical view of illegal immigration and enforcement. With two weeks to go it appears that he may actually pull this one off.


Hickenlooper (D): 44%
Tancredo (I): 43%
Maes (R): 9%
Other/und: 8%



Tancredo has gained significantly in the last week. He was down by 5% earlier this week and appears to be on the cusp of overtaking Hickenlooper. Coloradans appear to be warming up to Tancredo's policies on immigration and tired of Democrats running things in Colorado. Maes continues to drop, losing 4% since the last poll.


A couple of things to notice: Tancredo keeps building with the falling support of Maes. This appears to be backing the idea that Tancredo has become the de-facto Republican candidate in this race. If this continues, Maes may drop out in order to prevent a Hickenlooper win. Maes has denied this in the past, but with him nearly in single digits, he may want to reconsider.

Also, Hickenlooper is well below 50%. Voters in Colorado are hesitant to send another weak-willed Democrat to the Executive Mansion. Likely some of these undecided voters will break between the Democrat and Tancredo, marginalizing Maes and making it more likely for Tancredo to eek out a victory.


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2 comments:

  1. Unfortunately for me, I just moved from the Denver metro to D.C. (I'm dying here, ugly damn place, no where to park, no where to breathe).

    Anyway, don't discount the Tinkywinkies in places like Boulder, Pueblo and the smaller mountain communities (Nederland, Coal Creek). They are a danger to themselves and others.

    Also, the medical marijuana laws are very popular across the demographics, and anyone who is perceived as Anti-pot will have a hard time at the polls.

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  2. I hope tancredo pulls it off!

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