Sunday, October 31, 2010

Illinois Senate Polls

According to the latest polls Giannoulias has opened a small 1-2% lead over Kirk while the Real Clear Politics polling average has Kirk up by less than one percent. All of the major polls appear to have a very high number of undecided voters-- which could either help Kirk because they will break away from the incumbent party but will likely help the Democrats due to the deep blue hue of the state. RCP is commenting on the race.

RCP Average
Kirk (R): 40.0%
Giannoulias (D): 39.3%
Other/und: 20.7%

The internals of recent polling are not good. Even though Giannoulias is one of the most corrupt politicians in Illinois-- and that's saying a lot, it appears that the charges are not sticking with the people of Illinois:


Kirk has admitted embellishing his military record, and, a month from Election Day, finds his favorability ratings headed in the wrong direction. Thirty-two percent of voters now have an unfavorable view of the congressman, an increase of 13 percent since the last Tribune/WGN poll released last month. Twenty-three percent have a favorable opinion of Kirk. Thirty-one percent view Giannoulias favorably, and the same amount view him unfavorably. Thirty-five percent of voters say Giannoulias is the more trustworthy of the two while 30 percent say the same for Kirk.


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