Monday, October 18, 2010

Election 2010: Nancy Pelosi's career is over.

House Republicans will definitely be regaining the House of Representatives on election day. Even Senate Democrats are admitting that fact to boost their own fundraising from deep-pocketed donors. Meaning that current Minority Leader John Boehner of Ohio, will become the 61st Speaker next January. Just 2 years after the Republican Party was declared dead by all of Washington.

So what does this mean for the current Speaker? Surely such an embarrassment will result in Nancy Pelosi losing all significant power in the Democratic Caucus. I do not know how far, or how long it will go until Pelosi receives her reprimand from the Democrat hierarchy, but it's going to happen early next year. Bet on it.

With many of the Democratic leaders out of the House and Senate like Reid, Obama, and Biden, much of the blame will fall at Pelosi's doorstep. She became the face of an out-of-control government expansion and the horrid mess of the health care bill. She is the single face of Democratic failures in Congress since 2007.

When Republicans got shellacked in 2006, then Speaker Hastert was quick to resign from all leadership posts within the Republican Conference, and resigned from Congress itself in late 2007. The last House Democrat (Tom Foley) to face Pelosi's upcoming predicament was in 1994, but he didn't even have to face the Caucus, because he lost his own seat in the Republican Wave that year. Which is unlikely to happen to Pelosi, who resides in San Francisco.

Pelosi's Republican challenger has raised quite a bit of money but in the ultra-left area of San Francisco, it appears that Queen Nancy is safe. In fact, her last challenge was from the left-- that's how radical the area is. So maybe the loss of many of her allies will have to do for now.

With Pelosi's approval rating below water, Democrats desperately in need of a scapegoat to blame and a political rebranding. It's only a matter of when Pelosi will face the axe, not if. In fact, I would wager that Pelosi is going to resign early next year in disgrace. Which would be bad, as I am certain that Cindy Sheehan* would get the Democratic nomination to replace her in the special election.

Any thoughts?

* - Sheehan did run against Nancy Pelosi in 2008, receiving 46,000 votes.

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